Tuesday, October 31, 2023

How the Harden Trade Affects Us

 The NBA never sleeps, and neither do we.

Clippers receive

  • James Harden
  • PJ Tucker
  • Some guy I haven't heard of
Philly receive
  • Marcus Morris Sr
  • Robert Covington
  • Nicolas Batum
  • KJ Martin
That's a lot of dudes, so to properly break down how this affects our league, allow me to put the characters into Fast and Furious categories

"Salud Mi Familia" Category
  • PJ Tucker - Harden brought his guy with him from the soon-to-be freezing streets of Philly to sunny Los Angeles. What a guy. And unless the Clippers drop Russ to the bench (which they should but won't do) Tucker falls to us. Now, should you take him? God no. But would I love to drink a Corona with him? Absolutely
  • Robert Covington - RoCo returns to Philly in triumphant fashion as the likely starting replacement for Tucker. Daryl Morey never loses a trade, and he sure didn't lose this one either as he let one of the best 75 players to ever exist in the NBA (who led the league in assists just last season) go exactly where he wanted to go and managed to pry Covington away from the Clippers, a man who didn't play hardly at all last season, and has only played this year to prove he's still a functional trade piece. Do I like RoCo? I guess. Will he do well in Philly? Sure. He should start, so don't get him

"Ejecto Seato cuz!" Category
  • KJ Martin - I had all this hope for Martin bringing youth and athleticism to the Clippers, and there were rumors he might even start. And then three games into his first season with them they kick his ass to the curb. If anyone can make good use of an athletic wing, it's Nick Nurse, so this might be good for Martin and for us
  • Danny Green - Not sure anyone was thinking about picking him up, but in order to open up a roster spot and make this trade work, they had to let Danny go. There's a chance someone picks him up, so keep an eye on it

"When I See You Again" Category
  • Nicolas Batum - Batum is certainly aging, but he's played virtually every position for the Clippers over the last few years, plugging holes and filling in for their countless injuries. He's started, he's come off the bench, he's hardly played, he's been an invaluable member of their wonky-ass team. I think they're gonna miss him

This is Insane Category
  • Russ - It makes absolutely no sense for the Clippers to have Russ and Harden starting. We've seen it not work time and time again. Does that mean anything? No. But did that stop Isaac from driving a car out the back of an airplane and picking him up at 6 o'clock this morning? Also no. We'll be keeping a very close eye on the potential league-wrecker, don't worry

"I said forget about it cuh" Category

  • Marcus Morris Sr - He's 34 and he hasn't played a minute. Things will have to get pretty desperate in Philly for him to see the floor
  • De'Anthony Melton - With Philly trading away a starting guard and not getting one back, Melton is the undeniable starter and will lose eligibility when his two weeks are up, which is in one week

Monday, October 30, 2023

Week 1 Rundown

 Gents,

The short week is over and now we step gracefully into the season.

Winners

  • Jalen Johnson, and by extension, me: JJ wasn't drafted in our league and he scored the most points of anyone this past week (haven't done the math, but it doesn't count points that happen on your bench, so Cam Thomas probably has something to say about this). He's actually impressed so much that he started the game yesterday. Never fear, I'll be monitoring this as closely as if he were on any of your teams, if not closer
  • Alex "Bald Jesus" Caruso: Here I was criticizing Cody for taking the White Wonder number one overall last year, and here he comes storming in scoring the second most points of the week (missing the number one spot by a single point). At the top of the list of impressive stats the Carusbro put up this week, I have to highlight his steals. By game he got 2, 2, and 4
  • Steven, depending on how you look at it: With Anfernee Simons tearing his thumb, the Blazers have elected to start Sharpe. So for two weeks, Steven's gonna get some serious minutes, which should equal some serious points
  • Michael, depending on how you look at it: With Anfernee Simons tearing his thumb, the Blazers have elected to keep Brogdon on the bench. Feels weird, but I guess they're not all that interested in winning games this year anyway. So, Michael doesn't get the loophole starting boost, but he doesn't have to worry about his top player's eligibility
Losers
  • Also Michael: While we're on the topic, we might as well keep talking about the dualistic week Michael had. He scored the second most points of the week, but was unfortunately matched up with the team who scored the most
  • Jalen: New Bern Nematodes have a rough introduction to the league this week, putting up the fewest points. Silver lining, the draft day flyer he took on Bismack Biyombo is about to pay off as the Grizzlies are signing him
  • Isaac: Despite the win, he racked up an incredible 114 points on the bench throughout the week. That's nearly half the points Jalen's team scored (sorry to pile on)
Free Agent Round Up
  1. John Konchar - Missed the season opener for personal reasons and has since put up 24 and 31 fantasy points. Kennard's been hurt, this Memphis season is going to Hell in a handbasket, Konchar's gonna keep playing a ton
  2. Cason Wallace - I've missed on a couple rookies, but I'll take an early victory lap on Wallace. In three games he's put up 27, 14, and 24 fantasy points, averaging 20 mpg
  3. Corey Kispert - He's gonna be streaky, as shown by his first two games of 14 and 30 fantasy points. Plus he's a shooter on a team where Jordan Poole and Kyle Kuzma each took 23 shots in one game. That's a real stat. But on the second unit he doesn't play with them much, so he should get his fair share
  4. Peyton Watson - After a rough opening 5 points against the Lakers, Watson has turned it on, scoring 29 and 37 fantasy points, including a 3 block game. This man can scratch his kneecaps without bending over
  5. JaeSean Tate - Tate isn't one of Houston's sexy young high draft picks, but he seems to have earned Udoka's trust. getting 15, 14, then 22 minutes this season. Whitmore's already buried on the bench, Landale's hurt, Tate's a good short-term play
  6. Dwight Powell - Zach Lowe affectionately called him a cockroach, which is about as brutal a compliment as you can give. But it's accurate, hahaha, he's never gonna go away. Lively looks great, so Powell is slotted as the backup. Coming off an unnamed illness, his minutes should grow
Bullshit Mario Party Bonus Stars
  • The Somebody's Gotta Catch Passes on This Team Bonus Star for worst top scorer on a winning team goes to Will, for Tre Jones leading his team to victory with a total of 80 points scored all week
  • The Stone Hands Bonus Star for most drops goes to Steven, for dropping SEVEN players this week
  • The There Can Be Only One Bonus Star for winning the biggest backup center battle in the league goes to Cody, for picking Marvin Bagley III instead of James Wiseman, who hasn't played a minute

Thursday, October 26, 2023

First Full Night Recap

 Gents,

I watched Akira yesterday, and in honor of that, I will present a few categories.

  • The What the Hell Did I Just Watch Category
    • Collin Sexton - 2/9 with three turnovers and a fantasy score of -1??? From one of our brightest stars?
    • Jaden Ivey - What the fuck, man. Shot 1-7, had three turnovers, and gave me a goose egg in fantasy. I might have to turn my back on the whole Pistons organization after this
    • Ty Jerome - My man played 6 minutes as the only backup PG on an injured Cavs team. Not exactly an explosive 6 minutes, either
    • John Konchar - a DNPCD on opening night where the Grizz were missing FOUR key players? This is my biggest whiff of the offseason already, even if he works his way into the rotation later
    • Chris Boucher - Poor Steven, another DNPCD on opening night
    • James Wiseman - Monty said one of Bagley or Wiseman was gonna win the backup minutes and the other was gonna sit. Congratulations Bagley
    • Seth Curry - I didn't have particularly high hopes for Curry this year, but I didn't expect him to get outplayed by Dante Exum
    • Donte DiVincenzo - 3 points
    • Payton Pritchard - 5 points

  • The Did That Kid Just Make a Cape for Himself Category
    • Andrew Nembhard - The first double-double of our season! 12 points, 10 assists, 45 fantasy points. Bravo, good sir
    • Cam Thomas - Remember a few lines ago when you read DiVincenzo only scored 3 fantasy points? Just take a quick peek at Cam Thomas' league-high 49 on Isaac's bench. Super Cam has arrived
    • Immanual Quickley - Honestly doesn't belong in this category because he went out and did exactly what we expected him to do, he just deserves recognition
    • Jalen Johnson - Picked him up yesterday because the lesser Buzz Brother is still hurt. 48 fantasy points later, and he's the best undrafted player in the league, haha

  • The Wait I Forgot All These Characters Are 15 Years Old Category
    • Amen Thompson - Slow start for the kid I'm still expecting to be a sensation. 4 turnovers in 21 minutes
    • Gradey Dick - Played only 2 minutes. Things were so grim, Will dropped him, haha
  • The Badass Bike Slide I'm Here Let's Fuck Shit Up Category
    • Anthony Black - This man played 5 minutes and got 17 fantasy points. Now that's an introduction

Tuesday, October 24, 2023

Once More Into the Void

 Gents,

Some quick injury/lineup news and then some fun

  • Draymond's out. Don't worry, OMT has already benched Chris Paul
  • Jose Alvarado will miss the season opener, so good call on not drafting him
  • Vanderbilt's out for the season opener, so we won't learn much about that PF rotation for the Lakers just yet
  • Booker and Beal are questionable. If you've got a Sun, stay vigilant
  • Thybulle is starting for the Blazers
  • Josh Richardson is uncertain for Wednesday
  • James Harden, still away from the team. I would think they start Melton, but they could go with Pat Bev. We'll see more clearly tomorrow
  • Tari Eason's out 2-3 weeks, so Cam Whitmore may just crack the rotation
  • Detroit Bogdanovic is out for the opener, so we won't resolve Detroit's insane starting lineup situation yet
  • Steven Adams is gone for the year. Tillman should start, but keep an eye on flexibility with their insane number of young, big wings
  • Frankie Smokes fractured his tibia. He was set up to get some minutes, so that opens up either Nick Smith Jr or, woof, James Bouknight
  • Rudy Gay is once more a free agent after being dropped by GS. If they didn't want him, I don't know who will
  • Justise Winslow Hive stand up! He signed with the Raptors
  • Finally, Haywood Highsmith will miss two weeks, so get ready to learn some names off this Miami bench
Okay, the fun

The season is finally upon us. Let's look back and see if we can't learn anything from last year. Isaac, consider this your victory lap

  1. Transactions Matter, to an Extent: Two of the top three finishers in the regular season last year made the most and second most roster moves (96 and 87). As a foil to that point, the winner of it all made only 58
  2. So, How Many Roster Moves Should You Make? Well, league average was 52. Old Man Team reached the most and earned the least by making 86 moves and finishing 7th, while Steven's horribly-named team made the most with the least by making only 38 moves and finishing 4th
  3. Chase Double Doubles: They're heavily weighted. 1st and 2nd place in the regular season notched league-high 55 and 54 double doubles last year. As a counter, 9th place finished with 44, which ranked third in the league, shout out to Bobby Portis. Obviously, triple doubles are worth chasing, too. Just good luck getting them now that Russ is starting
  4. Turnovers Are a Good Thing? Isaac won the league last year with over 100 more turnovers than second place, coming up just four shy of 1,000. Kenny lost the league with 90 fewer turnovers than ninth place, and was the only team sub 500. What does this mean? I think it plays into the next point
  5. Assists, Baby: The top three teams in assists were the top three regular season teams. The only two teams to not register 1,000 assists missed the playoffs. So ball movement > chucking
  6. Threes Aren't Everything: Despite how the league has gone since Steph hit the scene, making threes in this league is good, not great. Old Man Team hit the third most threes in the league last year and finished 8th, barely scraping into the playoffs. Will finished 7th in made threes but second in the league
  7. Stocks: The only team to finish the season with 500 blocks and 300 steals was Will, who finished the league second. Cody missed it by 9 steals, no one else was particularly close. Only one team finished with fewer than 300 steals, obviously Kenny. The goal for steals seems to be 400, as four teams landed in that range. Blocks were much harder to come by. Three teams were in the 300s, four in the 200s. Your bottom three were stuck in the 100s
  8. 600 is the Magic Number: Five teams averaged fewer than 600 fantasy points per week, five averaged higher. Four teams were in the 600s, and realistically Isaac is only in the 700s because of that cosmic event of a championship week. The two teams who scored in the 300s missed the playoffs
Goodbye and good luck

Friday, October 20, 2023

Best Remaining Free Agents as Wedding Guests

Since the season hasn't started and it's all hearsay as far as ranking these guys, here are the best remaining free agents as wedding guests.

Shouts out Cody for getting married.

Cam Whitmore: The Step Brother - Whitmore is the guy you spot at the party who's surrounded by people and they're all laughing like it's their job. If you go over there you might have the time of your life, or you might catch a misdemeanor.

David Roddy: The Favorite Uncle - He brought a flask even though it's an open bar. You're not sure what role he's gonna play in the night, but you know you're gonna remember it forever.

Monte Morris: The Christian Aunt - You wish you didn't have to invite her, but dammit her party pooper energy is impressibly consistent. Morris is the exact type of guy you hope won't get time in a fun, young Detroit backcourt. But you know he will.

Paul Reed: Your Second Best Friend - He would never admit that he's not mad you didn't choose him as your Best Man, but he talks about it in private. He's prepared a speech just in case your apparent better friend doesn't pull through. 

Sasha Vezenkov: The Long-Lost Uncle - Maybe he's a great-uncle? You sent an invitation to his PO box out of principle, but he's actually shown up. He doesn't know anyone at the party and he has the social skills of a baby deer, but you know he's got some killer stories, and he just might make the night memorable.

Ayo Dosunmu: The Younger Brother - He's lurking around pregnant women trying to snag their drinking tickets, and you just watched him hit his vape inside. There's no circumstance where you'd allow him to make a speech, and your mom is hovering over him like a hawk making sure he stays in line, but if you need a beer he knows how to get you one. 

Jock Landale: The Best Man - Is he your best friend or is he just the friend you know is gonna deliver a solid speech?

Isaiah Jackson: The Scorned Ex - Red dress to a wedding, enough said. Do not fall for Jackson again, no matter how well she does the Cha Cha Slide. You are in a loving and consistent relationship with your other players, do not jeopardize your long-term happiness, even though she just chugged her third glass of wine and winked at you.

Jose Alvarado: The Favorite Cousin - It's not a proper family function until they roll in, smelling like straight gas. You have to sit at your little table in front of everyone, but you strain your ears to try and hear their jokes, and all night you wish you could be over there. I'm disappointed no one drafted him, including myself.

Duncan Robinson: The DJ Who Thinks He's Part of the Party - You liked the idea of an active DJ who brought the energy until you bump into his sweaty back on the dance floor as he raps over the instrumental of Candy Shop. 

Torrey Craig: The Grandma - Now that you're no longer living in sin she's started smiling at you again. Sit close to her and be surprised by how funny she still is.

Wednesday, October 18, 2023

Draft Recap: Damon Style

 In the aftermath of a truly raucous draft, here is every team drafted as Matt Damon characters


Nevada Nidokings: Departed Matt Damon

An ambitious mix of youth and veteran savvy. Players like O'Neale, Richardson, and Harris know what it takes to make it in this town and they're willing to do it. Upstarts with limitless potential like Wiseman and Black keep them young and spunky. A dangerous, motivated team.


Twerk Nowitzki: Jason Bourne Matt Damon

We fucked up and let Michael have Brogdon again, and that man is a trained killer. With players like Vincent, Mann, and Saric, this team has the smarts to cut you to ribbons, and with Reid, Brogdon, and Eubanks, the braun to beat the piss out of you. Plus I'm confident Alex Caruso can tell you every license plate in the parking lot.


Old Man Team: Oppenheimer Matt Damon

Not just because it's his most recent movie and he's a little old in it. Mostly that, but also because this team will be run like the goddam Army. All vets,  everyone knows their rotations, they know the sets. They're clinical. Can they run as fast as they used to could? No. But they don't have to.


Mike Honcho's Magic Men: Invictus Matt Damon

Ya'll remember this movie? South African rugby team? Couldn't understand a damn word Damon said the whole time? Good stuff. Mike Honcho's Magic Men are big, burly, tough motherfuckers. If we were playing rugby, I'm picking the team that has Timelord, Bobby Portis, DFS, and Rui on it. Bonus points for drafting Dennis Smith Jr and Frankie Smokes on the same team. I also feel like they'd be great at rugby.


Brace Family YMCA: Talented Mr Ripley Matt Damon

Such a good movie, I just had to give it to myself. This team might not have the freak athletes, but it's got scary intelligence. Players like Slow Mo, Niang, and Bogey make precise movements like Tom Brady in the pocket. Also, Ripley is a villain, and this team has Grayson Allen, so there ya go.


Luka Deez Beanz: Adjustment Bureau Matt Damon

Couple of absolute dawgs on this team who will spit in the face of their actual destiny and push onward anyway (really hoping ya'll have seen this movie). Hart and Thybulle on the same team is just about as much hustle, versatility, and grit as you can ask for. Plus, in the one in a million shot that Wood pops, this team will break the mold and get to be with the woman it loves (it really is a good movie).


Sky High Smiths: Eurotrip Matt Damon

Scotty Doesn't Know is a bonafide G and a certified thug, and you can't teach that. This team is off the rails, going from autodrafting the two best starters in the NBA, to taking truly good picks in Powell and Melton, back to taking huge swings like Bagley and Ingles. No plan, all vibes. I love it. What a bop.


Password is Taco: Rounders Matt Damon

This entire team is a gamble, hahaha. From taking three rookies (!) to going all-in on Jonathan Isaac, this team would be a blast to party with. Also, much like Damon in the movie (another great flick) this team looks like it's in way over its head, but it just might have an ace up its sleeve if one or even all of these rookies hit.


Rob Riggle: Will Hunting Matt Damon

This was gonna go to the team who drafting Pritchard one way or another, but this team does in fact have some very smart players in Agbaji, Plumdog Millionaire, and the Big Ragu. I know he's not from Boston, and he doesn't play for Boston, but is there a player in the league with a more Boston mindset than Cam friggin Thomas? You think you're better than me? All high and goddam mighty. I'm mixing up my Boston movies, but you get the point: my boy's wicked smaht.


New Bern Nemotodes: Interstellar Matt Damon

This team aligns itself with Interstellar Damon's core philosophy: run and gun. Anthony, Hield, Curry, Mann, Kleber, Griffin, this team is overflowing with shooters. They're gonna lull you into a sense of security on defense and then get up and out of there in transition before hitting an above the break three that abandons you on an ice planet.


Free Agent Roundup - Post-Draft Edition

Free Agent Roundup


In case you messed up in the draft, never fear. We’ve got so many good free agents available


1. Dyson Daniels – Every Pelican is hurt. This man will play a ton

2. Andrew Nembhard – Started for the Pacers last year. Will play a ton, too

3. Trey Lyles – Legit backup center for the Kings

4. Zeke Nnaji – This is his year!

5. David Roddy – Memphis play weird guys. He’s one of them

6. Paul Reed – No love for BBall Paul?

7. Jock Landale – If Ime doesn’t like Sengun, Landale’s set

8. Jevon Carter – I’ve let myself down on this one

9. Sam Hauser – Celtics need wing shooters like him

10. Kris Murray – Rookie shooter

11. Cam Whitmore – Will Ime play him? If he does, he’s gonna eat

12. Jaime Jaquez – Rookie risk, but a good risk

13. MarJon Beauchamp – Bucks need him

14. Luke Kornet – He might actually play!


That’s just everyone I found right away. Looks like waivers clear on Friday. Happy hunting!

Tuesday, October 17, 2023

Draft Board 4.0 The Final One

Draft Board 4.0

In Tiers


Tier 1: 6MOY Contenders

1. CP3 – Assuming he comes off the bench, which makes the most sense, he brings a sense of purpose to an exciting but directionless group of Golden State backups. Might have to sit him for very start of the year as Draymond Green picked up a small injury in training camp

2. Immanuel Quickley – He nearly won it last year, I see no reason he shouldn’t contend for it again. 15ppg with three assists, four rebounds, and a steal to boot

3. Malcolm Brogdan – The reigning sixth man certainly looks like he’s coming off the bench for Portland. Huge news for us

4. Bobby Portis – A double double machine who plays for an old team and gets spot starts. Rock solid pick, I would not be upset or surprised if he went one

5. Christian Wood – The highest upside of anyone in our league. Only thing holding him back is himself, which has consistently turned out to be quite the obstacle. With plenty of power forwards to go around in LA, I don’t expect him to haul in the 26 mpg he got last year, but his talent is too great to ignore

6. Norman Powell – Easy buckets off the bench for the most game-managed team to ever exist. We’ll see how the new rules go, but regardless, Powell’s a star. 26 mpg and 17 ppg last year in 60 games

7. Bogdan Bogdanovic – Bogey’s coming off a killer World Cup and gearing up for a serious run at sixth man. Played 28 mpg last year, shooting 45/40/83

8. Malik Monk – Microwave scorer who’s as likely to have 40 as he is 12. Threw in 4 apg, too

9. Jrue Holiday – Listen, I think it’s a terrible idea, but in the only preseason game where Boston played the two Js, Jrue came off the bench. He is 100% worth the risk, but he is a risk nonetheless. This is not confirmed, but it’s feeling possible

10. Derrick White – Just read the Jrue Holiday blurb. So much mystery around this Celtics lineup


Tier 2: Elite Producers

1. Onyeka Okongwu – Only in the second tier because there’s no way he wins 6MOY. 10 pts, 7 boards, 1 block per game last year

2. Collin Sexton – In 48 games last year he shot 50/39/81 for 14 points and 3 assists. The only downside? He might start

3. Jordan Clarkson – Listen, I know what the Jazz are gonna do about as well as I know how electricity works, but there’s a whiff of Clarkson off the bench in the air, and any whiff of this man is worth investigating for us. Take him at your own risk

4. Terance Mann – Coming off of back-to-back 81-game seasons for the Clippers, Mann is electric and will see plenty of loophole starts. A high risk to start, though

5. Bones Hyland – Bones is weird. With Russ and Mann ahead of him on the roster, he’s a shoot-first-ask-questions-never backup-microwave-heat-check variable. The upside is that he plays for a chronically injured team in the Clippers. He played 14 games for them last year after the deadline and got 19 mpg. And if Mann slots into the starting lineup, Bones becomes a quality pick. Truly a wild card

6. John Konchar – Looking at Memphis’ roster without Ja, Konchar’s gonna eat for the first 25 games of the year. 20 mpg in 72 games last year, those numbers are going to spike

7. Cole Anthony – Consistent double-digit scorer with a well-defined role on a talented young team. Looking to play more than 65 games in a season for the first time in his NBA career

8. Kelly Oubre Jr – 20 ppg last year as a starter. Hasn’t put up fewer than 10.5 FGA in a season for six years. He’s gonna get some shots up in Philly, whether they keep Harden or not

9. Buddy Hield – Was going to end up on the bench for the Pacers but now they’re looking to trade him. Not sure where he’s gonna play this year, but he’s a tippy top elite three-point shooter even if he stays

10. Robert Williams III – Doesn’t look like he’s gonna start in Portland, which is fantastic. He’s a pogo stick around the rim who finishes everything and is an absolute lock for a block per game

11. Tim Hardaway Jr – It looks like Dallas is going to try him in the sixth man role, where they’ve had him for somewhere around half of his five years there. He gets serious minutes, and he puts up 12 shots per game. Just pay attention to him slipping in and out of the lineup, just like he obnoxiously does every year

12. Eric Gordon – He’s old but he’s won 6MOY before and he’ll play big minutes for a very high-profile team that will rest its stars heavily

13. Reggie Bullock – Great pickup by Houston. He hasn’t played fewer than 27 mpg since 2017 (barring a weird year in NY) and he’ll be keeping Dillion Brooks and Jaylen Green honest. Real potential for spot starts and even a risk of losing eligibility, but to start the year I don’t see any way he doesn’t come off the bench

14. Amen Thompson – With KPJ bowing out, the rookie Thompson is gonna make people question Jaylen Green’s starting status by December. This Houston bench is looking fun

15. Kyle Anderson – Slo-Mo is the hand that steadies the drink when it’s about to overflow and spill everywhere in Minnesota. Because of KAT’s injury, he ended up starting half the games last year, which only cements his importance to this team. Shot 50/40 last year

16. Caris LeVert – I think Strus will lock up the starting spot, leaving LeVert for us. I’ve tempered expectations from last season, but he’s still a heater. 12 points and 4 assists will do just fine for us. Might start a few games at the beginning of the year if Jarrett Allen’s not good to go, but well worth stashing

17. Tari Eason – This is Udoka’s kind of player. Eason’s gonna play dogged defense and light up second units just like last year when he averaged 9 and 6, got a steal and half a block, played 22 minutes, and played every single game as a rookie. Seriously, get someone from Houston on your team

18. Santi Aldama – Bold prediction: Aldama will play more minutes than JJJ. Aldama had 21 mpg last year, JJJ had 28. Foul trouble and not having Ja around to ease the load on offense could weigh heavily on JJJ, which lights the runway for his backup to have an even bigger year than he had last season, where he hauled in 9 points and 5 rebounds

19. Mason Plumlee – Dude’s like if the Terminator wasn’t hot. Pure stats, no sex appeal. In 23 games with the Clippers after the deadline he averaged 7 and 7 in 20 minutes

20. Andrew Nembhard – Nembhard started 63 games and averaged 9.5 pts and 4.5 asts as a rookie last year. Carlisle loves him. He’ll see plenty of the floor

21. Donte DiVincenzo – The Big Ragu was a perfect fit in Golden State last year, racking up 9, 4, 3, and 1 in 26 mpg. Thibs is gonna love him in New York, and he’s at no risk of starting

22. Shaedon Sharpe – We’ll see if he starts, but the one thing we know is he’s going to play a ton as the Blazers figure out exactly what it is they have here. If he comes off the bench they’re going to give him the floor. 8 shots per game last season will have nothing on this year

23. Al Horford – Impossible to rank him, because the Celtics unequivocally should bench him. But this lingering Jrue Holiday on the bench thing is worrisome. Not to mention, Horford is older than original sin (37) and they really need to manage his minutes if they wanna win the title. So even as a bench player, supposing he is one, he’ll miss a fair number of games. I don’t know, ya’ll, I wish I did 


Tier 3: Quality Rotation

1. Naz Reid – Even with only 18 mpg finding time between Rudy and Kat, Reid averaged 11.5 pts, 5 rbs, and 1 ast. As one of the few fan favorites on the team, they have to keep playing him

2. Cam Payne – A spotty scorer, but he fits a need in Milwaukee and he’ll be surrounded by talent. Once he breaks in and gets comfy, he’ll be a rock solid backup PG for a team that will likely rest all sorts of guys all the time

3. Payton Pritchard – Absolutely ballin’ in preseason, scoring 26, 21, and 17 points in the first three games. He only played in 48 games last year and only got 13 mpg, but with the Celtics’ current roster construction, he’s going to ball out. Unless of course, they do something weird and bench Holiday or White

4. Jonathon Kuminga – Last year he played 20 mpg, this year he should do the same. Eating in the preseason, scoring 24, 26, and 28 points in the first three games. He’s on pace to break Wilt’s single-game record by Christmas!

5. Josh Richardson – Really thought he’d start, but early reports seem to think Miami start Lowry with Herro. We’ll monitor it, but if Richardson brings his career average 11 points and one steal per game to our league again I will not overlook a returning Heat Culture two guard. Also he’s 30, did ya’ll know that? Spo’s gonna play him 28 mpg

6. Josh Hart – Grimes has so far won the starting spot, so we retain our elite rebounder who tends to be in the finishing lineup. Low ceiling, very high floor

7. Kelly Olynyk – Collins pushes him firmly to the bench and now he gets to operate with the Jazz’ really fun backups like Agbaji and George. I think he’s gonna eat. Two years ago on the bench for Detroit he averaged 9, 4.5, and 3

8. Alex Caruso – Last year’s number one overall pick is crucial to Chicago’s success. His offense is fine, but he was a first team all defender last season, and those steals really add up in our league

9. Dario Saric – Small ball 5 playing big minutes with CP3? Yeah, sign me up. Especially with Draymond hurt to begin the year. Has a tendency to be hurt, but fits the roster perfectly

10. Nick Richards – He had 14 double doubles last year

11. Ochai Agbaji – I think he’s coming for the Utah starting spot. Not a lights out shooter, but a winning plays guy. Definitely a swing but he played 20 mpg last year and he’s getting better

12. Pat Connaughton – Even though he’s a streaky shooter who had an injured and not that great year last season, he’s a hustle guy, great rebounder, and he’ll get plenty of minutes 

13. Christian Braun – Denver need him to play like he did in the playoffs. With no one else to turn to, I think he will, but it’s a major bet on a guy who wasn’t on any of our teams last year

14. Paul Reed – He only got 10 mpg last year, but the fans love him and they need to manage Embiid better now that he’s won his MVP. Breakout year for BBall Paul

15. Caleb Martin – Who knows if Martin will be startin’, but we all saw him go nuclear in the playoffs, and last year he played almost 30 mpg. He’s become invaluable for this shallow Heat team

16. Kenyon Martin Jr – A bet on youth, athleticism, availability, and fit. Kmart Jr checks all of those boxes. Plus, backups for the Clippers get all sorts of playing time

17. Dyson Daniels – The Pelicans are always getting hurt, and with Trey Murphy out until mid-November at least, Jose Alvarado and Larry Nance Jr missing training camp, and Naji Marshall missing the start of the year, Daniels is about to see a ton of the floor early on

18. Gary Trent Jr – A bet on the Schroder Slump that strikes every other year, which would leave the Raptors only other guard with plenty of minutes

19. Drew Eubanks – The Shaq of Troutdale will be backing up the always-injured and terrible defensive anchor Josef Nurkic. Last year for a floundering Blazers team he averaged 6 pts, 5 rbs, and 1 blk in 78 games. Drewbanks will be ready to bring consistency to the backup center spot in Phoenix

20. Georges Niang – Don’t know if I’ve ever seen him miss a corner three. Last year he shot 44/40/86 on 19 mpg. Pretty much gonna have the same role in Cleveland as he did in Philly

21. Malaki Branham – Devonte’ Graham’s suspended the first two games of the season with a DUI, so Branham will have the red carpet rolled out for him. 10 points, 2 assists, and only 1 turnover in his regular season, he’s set to get buckets for this likely bad Spurs team

22. Jock Landale – While I’m a Sengun fan, I just have a feeling Udoka isn’t. Landale brings a bit of that bastard to his game. He’s a great energy sub who brings a change of pace behind Sengun

23. Grayson Allen – He’s been a starter for the Bucks these last two years, getting 10 ppg and shooting 40% from three. I’d rather have that shooting off the bench for the Suns, but I can definitely see him taking that assumed starter role from Okogie for certain matchups. If he maintains eligibility, he’s a lock to play good minutes and shoot the lights out

24. Trey Lyles – He played 74 games for the Kings last year and didn’t start one. 17 mpg, he shot 46/36/81 while grabbing 4 boards. He’s the definition of a solid rotation big

25. Chris Boucher – Boucher played in 76 games for the Raptors last year, averaging 9 points and 5.5 rebounds in 20 minutes. Regardless of how the Raptors arrange their starters, Boucher is set up to keep producing consistently

26. Dorian Finney-Smith – Hasn’t come off the bench since 2019, but with the return of Ben Simmons, it looks like he’ll drop to us. The archetypal 3 and D wing, his only concern is that the Nets have about 7 guys at his position. At 29 years old, he’s in his prime, unlike Royce O’Neale, and he’s too good to bury on the bench. I don’t think he’ll be playing for the Nets all season, but he’s gonna kick the year off strong

27. Jose Alvarado – Looks like this injury should be healed up by the start of the regular season, but Alvarado’s gonna miss all of the preseason. A good player on a constantly hurt team, don’t expect him to come out of the gate firing

28. Taurean Prince – LeBron loves a vet wing who knows how to cut and can shoot. Prince played 22 mpg last year off the Wolves’ bench, and shot 38% from three. He’s got age over Rui, shooting over Vando, and consistency over Wood. Feels like a perfect fit. Has started EVERY preseason game, which is why he’s so low on this list

29. Nickeal Alexander-Walker – He filled in for Ant and McDaniels in the preseason, and is playing plenty. After a good showing at the World Cup for Canada, he’s sneaking up my board.

30. Torrey Craig – He’s coming off a solid season with Phoenix, shooting 39% from three. Brings consistency behind Patrick Williams, who needs to have a great year

31. Isaiah Hartenstein – He wasn’t what I’d hoped he’d be last year, but the Knicks’ bench got even more talented around him with DiVincenzo, and one more year under Thibs will have gained him favor

32. Maxi Kleber – A healthy Kleber will play a huge role for this shallow Mavs team. Would love to be able to trust his health

33. Alec Burks – Burks carried Old Man Team when he played last year. This Pistons team needs shooting maybe more than any other team in the league. Burks shot 41% from three on nearly 5 attempts per game

34. Josh Green – Played 25 mpg last year for that sad Mavs team, and I really don’t see many reasons he won’t do that again. I think he’s gonna start, and if he does, maybe take a flyer on Olivier-Maxence Prosper around here

35. Zeke Nnaji – I know I said last year was the year, but this is the year. Uncle Jeff is gone, Cancar tore his ACL, no one wants more DeAndre Jordan minutes. It’s Zeke Nnaji time

36. David Roddy – Tough to tell what Memphis is gonna do with their roster for the first 25 games, but Roddy played 70 games last year at 18 mpg, so he’ll factor in

37. Patrick Beverly – Depending on entirely too many variables, Pat Bev might start for the Sixers, he might be the first man off the bench, he might make a big fuss about lack of playing time on his podcast, and he might get in a verbal dispute and be dismissed from the team. Whatever happens, he’s too good and too loud to not play

38. Isaiah Joe – Will he shoot 41% from three like he did last year or will he fade into obscurity under the 30 talented teenagers OKC keeps drafting?

39. Deni Avdija / Cory Kispert – After being one of my absolute locks at this time last year, Avdija went out and started 40 games. Which is five fewer games than his competitor Corey Kispert started. It’s a true toss-up who will secure that starting spot. Kispert shot 42% from three, Avdija averaged 9, 6.5, and 3. Whoever falls to us should get plenty of time in a wonky Wizards season

40. Sam Hauser – Boston went out and got a lot of deep-cut wing depth this summer (Brissett, Svi, Stevens) but Hauser played in 80 games last year. He’s the incumbent, he just has to stay on his game or he might get buried

41. Justin Holiday – The surprise of the preseason. With the Nuggets taking it easy on MPJ, Holiday’s run with the starters in every game. Malone loves his vets. Holiday’s not a great numbers guy, but everyone scores when they play with Jokic


Tier 4: Good Minutes

1. Larry Nance Jr – Another bet on New Orleans’ terrible health record. Do you really think we get more than 50 games out of Zion this year? Speaking of, Nance himself is hurt. Looks like he should be good to start the season, but he’s going to miss camp

2. Xavier Tillman – Steven Adams got hurt in January and never came back. Reports on his health this summer have been tricky to find. Assuming he’s back, Tillman should get plenty of time as they work Adams into shape

3. Royce O’Neale – O’Neale is savvy. He’s averaged 31 mpg over the last three seasons, and even though the Nets are Team Wing, he’s a coach’s dream and ought to keep producing, so long as Simmons keeps starting

4. Thomas Bryant – He started 25 games for a tumultuous Lakers team last year, putting up 12 points and 7 rebounds. Then he got traded to Denver and played 11 mpg. Due simply to the lack of backup bigs on the Heat roster, Bryant should be out there a lot more than 11 minutes. He has big upside, but he simply doesn’t play that many games. In the last five seasons he’s played 46, 10, 27, 59, and 59 games

5. Jalen Johnson – Quin Snyder seems to like him more than AJ Griffin. A very spotty player, but when he hits he hits

6. Jevon Carter – My guy played all but one game for the Bucks last season, starting half of them. His production was moderate: 8 points, 2 assists, 2 rebounds, and a steal. What he brings to the Bulls this year is tenacity. With him and Caruso on the bench, the other team’s point guard isn’t gonna get a moment of rest. But that doesn’t always translate into fantasy success

7. Reggie Jackson – In a pretty small sample size (18 games) for the Nugs last year, Jackson shot pretty badly but managed 8 points and 3 assists. No one is more aware of Jamaal Murray’s impact on this team than Denver, so look for them to keep his minutes and games reasonable. That means minutes for Jackson, who will have settled into the team more with a full offseason

8. Mo Wagner – Not only did he get 10.5 ppg off the bench last year, he’s also the brother of one of the Magic’s franchise cornerstones. He’s gonna play

9. Kris Murray – Rookies are a crapshoot, but 23-year-old, 6’8 rookies who can shoot the piss out of the ball tend to see the floor

10. Yuta Watanabe – I harped on it all last year, superstar teams need guys like Yuta. He’s big, he hustles, fans love him, and he hits corner threes. The ceiling isn’t that sexy but the floor is nice and high

11. Gary Payton II – He’s 30, he’s had some bad injuries lately, and he doesn’t shoot. But he has Steve Kerr’s trust, and that’s all he needs

12. Jeff Green – Uncle Jeff is 37 years old but played 20 mpg last year for the Nuggets. Udoka isn’t going to like the youth of Houston

13. Jonathan Isaac – He only played 11 games last year, but in that time he got multiple steals in 4 of them, more than 4 rebounds in 6 of them, and more than 9 points in 3 of them. He was as advertised on defense, and he had some moments on the other end. He simply will not stay healthy. But the beginning of the year is a great time for health

14. Nassir Little – Joins a crowded backup wing rotation in Phoenix. Won over Chauncey Billups and earned 26 mpg two years ago and 18 last year. Little’s issue has been staying on the court. Last season he played a four-year career high of 54 games

15. Oshae Brissett – The Celtics have added lots of mediocre wing depth to their bench with Brissett, Svi, and Lamar Stevens. Of the three, I like Brissett to play the most on account of his scrapping for 16 mpg last year on a wing-heavy Pacers team

16. Cody Martin – Was hurt all last year and played only seven games. The Bridges situation muddies it up a bit, but Martin should play plenty of minutes behind the always-injured Gordon Hayward

17. Dennis Smith Jr – Revived his career last year in Charlotte. Now, in Brooklyn, will be looking to bring defense and stability behind Spencer Dinwiddie

18. Keyontae George – Did you see him in Summer League? The Jazz have plenty of undersized scoring guard depth, but George might just be too good to bury on the bench

19. Delon Wright – Wright played 24 mpg for Washington last year and was shockingly consistent. Regardless of where the Wizards want to go, he’ll get in

20. AJ Griffin – Looking to avoid the sophomore slump and capitalize on the departure of John Collins. He played 19 mpg and shot 39% from three. His only downside is Jalen Johnson plays his exact position, so he’s going to have to earn those minutes

21. Talen Horton-Tucker – With the drafting of Keyontae George, THT’s minutes might take a hit. He averaged 10 points, 4 assists, and 3 rebounds last year, though, and drafting him is a bet on experience over a shiny rookie. Only this low because somehow he’s started every preseason game for the Jazz. Weird, but his eligibility is certainly in question

22. Landry Shamet – He only played 40 games last year, and he’s on a team who’s looking toward the future. He’s only 26, so if he stays healthy he could put up real minutes. But he’s at risk of being traded or falling down the pecking order, and he’s already picked up a toe injury. He’s in my Burn Book, but feel free to give him a shot

23. Cason Wallace – Picking an OKC player is committing yourself to a season of peril and limitless G League roster updates. But Wallace has the size and upside to be a great long-term piece behind Shai and Giddey. Just keep your eye out

24. Precious Achiuwa – Really thought he was going to thrive in Toronto, and maybe under new coaching he will. Regardless, he’s their backup big, and he averaged 9 and 6 last year

25. James Wiseman – Man, this Detroit roster situation is bonkers. All of their bigs were hurt at staggered intervals last season, so we didn’t get a chance to see who was top of the food chain. Monty said one of he or Bagley will win out and the other will fall out of the rotation. Place your bet now

26. Marvin Bagley – Just go re-read the James Wiseman blurb. Both have gone off in preseason during different games. Crapshoot. But a very high upside one

27. Luke Kornet – Boston’s bigs are KP and Horford. Injury-prone doesn’t do it justice. Kornet’s gonna see plenty of the floor

28. Jae Crowder – The Bucks lost even more depth, which leaves more room for Crowder. He’s 33, he barely played last year, but if he can get it together he’s gonna be a great pickup

29. Jeremy Sochan – Reporting so far is the Spurs will start Collins, leaving Sochan to us. The good news is they love him there and he stands to play plenty of minutes. The bad news is he’s probably the best example of the kind of player who makes winning plays that do not translate into fantasy success

30. Ty Jerome – A functional backup PG for Cleveland. With Rubio still out of the picture, he’s actually their only backup PG

31. Aaron Nesmith – Nesmith was Indiana’s starting PF last year, which is very much not his natural position. He now steps into the plug and play role off the bench, which Carlisle is going to love. They need a 2 guard? Nesmith. A big wing? Nesmith. A small but experienced 4? Nesmith

32. Seth Curry – While he still shot 40% from three last year, he took his fewest threes per game since 2018. Dallas need him, so he’s gonna play, but he’s a bit of a risk

33. AJ Green – Bucks need shooting and they have very little depth

34. Jaylin Williams – Started 36 games for the Thunder last year. With the arrival of Chet, he looks to slot solidly to the bench. The coaches love him, but it’s always tricky taking an OKC player

35. Brandon Miller – I don’t know. He could start, hell he’s the number two overall pick. One way or another he should be on the court a ton

36. Gabe Vincent – Last year he started for a month and no one in our league even noticed. He’ll play a ton behind DLo, but he was the best available free agent in our league for half the year

37. Cam Whitmore – Looked like a man amongst boys at Summer League, and during preseason. Bullock hurts his chances a bit, but you just can’t take your eyes off this guy

38. Jordan Goodwin – Worried about his non-guaranteed contract. He’s the Suns’ backup PG, but they’ve got so many wings that they might just rotate their stars and never use him. I was so hype at the beginning of the summer

39. Duncan Robinson – The Heat need him to find that shooting stroke again. He really didn’t have it last year, but we’ll give him another try

40. Ayo Dosunmu – With the extension given to Coby White and the summer acquisition of Jevon Carter, Iso Ayo’s road to big minutes could be vanishing right before our eyes. He’s still a promising young player who Chicago should continue to develop, but don’t expect monster minutes

41. Patty Mills – Somebody’s gotta pick up Holiday’s bench minutes in Atlanta, and Patty seems fit for the job

42. Richaun Holmes – No clue. He fills a need on the Mavs, but they need everything so that’s not really saying much

43. Chris Duarte – Made an all-rookie team two years ago then got hurt and hardly played last year. He’s 6’6, and he’s shown he can really let it fly. We’ll see how the Kings use him with Monk already established on the bench

44. Doug McDermott – The Spurs are gonna be different this season, but he played 20 mpg last year, and they shipped Bullock and Bates-Diop, so he should see the floor

45. Keita Bates-Diop – The hipster pick for “guy who’s gonna shock everyone and get some spot starts for the Suns”. Played 67 games for the Spurs last year, shooting 50/39/79 splits on 21 mpg

46. Jarace Walker – Was looking at great playing time until the Pacers got Obi Toppin. Even so, the roster is so light on PFs that they started Aaron Nesmith at the four last year

47. Nic Batum – Might start, might get traded, Clips make no sense and he’s 34

48. Jaime Jaquez Jr – By all accounts he fits this Miami team like a glove. They’re pretty thin everywhere, so the rookie might get some good looks. Especially from a team that loves to take games off

49. Lonnie Walker IV – Started 32 games for the weird Lakers last year. The Nets have entirely too many wings, but logically they’ll trade some of them and either Walker will be one of them or the roster will open up for him

50. Jalen Suggs – Health has been an issue, but when he’s available he’s played meaningful minutes. He’s averaging 25 mpg in his first two years, on a total of 101 games. The Magic have drafted more guards, so it’s a make-or-break season for Suggs. Actually looking like he might start. Who knows. Draft with caution

51. Dru Smith – Attempting to be the Gabe Vincent of this year’s Miami team. I know nothing about him, but that just makes him better

52. Isaac Okoro – The Cavs flirted with starting Okoro last season and it didn’t really work out. An excellent defender, he’ll still find minutes in this deeper wing rotation. But will he shoot enough to be worthwhile?

53. Charles Bassey – San Antonio’s backup center, assuming they stick with Wemby at the 4

54. Derrick Jones Jr – He doesn’t score, playmake, or rebound. But Dallas need wing defenders so he should see the floor

55. Aaron Holiday – A vet for Udoka to trust when he gets mad at all the kids in Houston

56. Mike Muscala – I just can’t let go

57. Jordan Walsh – Scrappy rookie who should fit perfectly into a star-heavy team with minimal depth. Might not put up many stats, though

58. Andre Jackson Jr. – The Bucks rookie point guard. Cam Payne cuts into his potential to take off, but he’ll battle with TyTy Washington Jr for that 10-15 minute a night spot

59. Damian Jones – The Cavs are going to give having an actual backup 5 a go. Jones has a low ceiling, but should get minutes. Not the best sell, I know

60. TJ McConnell – The hero of Old Man Team last season took a blow with the signing of Bruce Brown. Now that Nembhard will be coming off the bench, it’ll be interesting to see how much McConnell plays. When he’s out there, he performs, I just worry he won’t be out there much

61. Kris Dunn – Just so many variables. He defends better than any of Utah’s more fun guards, and I think that’ll earn him some minutes. And last year he went on an absolute tear, playing the best basketball of his career. But do they want him to get in the way of Keyontae George? I don’t

62. Danilo Gallinari – Missed all last season with an ACL. Now he finds himself on this rebuilding Wizards team, trying to put up some good enough tape to get traded by the deadline. The main problem is their rookie Bilal Coulibaly. I like him a lot

63. Ziaire Williams – He started 31 games as a rookie, then he got hurt, the rest of the team leap frogged him, and he only played 37 games total last year. When he’s on, he fits this starting lineup without Ja perfectly. But he might never see the floor. I don’t know

64. Davion Mitchell – Off Night played 18 mpg last year, but with the influx of shooting guards he only took 5 shots per game. His defense is valuable and the Kings don’t have any of that, so he’ll still play, but don’t expect him to blow the doors off

65. Isaiah Jackson – Carlisle hates this man and I cannot figure out why. Every time he plays he puts up numbers, he gets 1.5 blocks per game, but he only played 63 games. With the drafting of Jarace Walker, I worry Jackson will be even more of a yo-yo than he was last season

66. Malachi Flynn – Raptor’s backup PG, depending on a lot of roster configuration. Could see the floor, could get buried behind their mountain of wings

67. Devonte’ Graham – Serving a DUI suspension the first two games of this season and looking at Branham possibly taking his role, we need to see a lot out of Graham this year and I’ve got my doubts. But he is their backup PG

68. Rudy Gay – He’s 37 and fresh off of not working for Utah. But, if there’s an organization that can revamp an old small ball five’s career, it’s the Warriors. Especially with Draymond starting the year hurt

69. Bryce McGowans – A lot went wrong for the Hornets last year, but McGowans played 17 mpg in 46 games. Name a backup guard the Hornets have any faith in. Bryce has a shot

70. Jordan McLaughlin – Did you know he’s 5’11? He got 16 mpg last year, but with a couple of higher-scoring additions to the T Wolves this offseason (Shake Milton, Daishen Nix, and some ascension from NAW) he might see even less of the floor

71. Javale McGee – Javale’s 35 and only played 8.5 mpg in 42 games last year. But the Kings lost Richaun Holmes and they dropped Nerlens Noel (who they just signed a month ago) to make room for Javale. So I’d have to think he’ll see the court, right?

72. Jalen Smith – The former 10th overall pick has struggled to keep Carlisle’s trust in Indiana. With the drafting of Walker, Smith could flame out entirely. But he’s a talented kid, so keep an eye on him either winning the spot or going somewhere else to flourish

73. Andre Drummond – He only played 12 mpg last year, but he’s a big enough name to make the list

74. Robin Lopez – 8 mpg for Cleveland last year. Don’t get your hopes up, but the last time he was in Milwaukee (4 years ago) he got 14 mpg


Tier Whatever: Take a Swing

1. Naji Marshall – Fills in gaps left by New Orleans’ incessantly injured forwards. His coach calls him “The Knife” because you know exactly what you’re getting out of him every night. Had 22 mpg last year. Has a bone bruise in his knee and will miss the start of the season, which is the only reason he’s this low

2. Bilal Coulibaly – The swing of the draft fell to the swingiest team. Washington could do anything they want this year, and Coulibaly’s about as rough a prospect as you can get. But damn he’s looked good in preseason

3. Moses Moody – Would like to see him get more than 13 mpg before I have confidence picking him. With GP2 back, he might not reach that. But the Warriors have a habit of resting every member of the organization about once a month, so keep your ear to the ground

4. Jaden Hardy – The Mavs need someone to take off, and every time Hardy got an opportunity last year he did just that. He took 7 shots in 14 minutes per game. That’s pretty much a shot every other possession

5. Trey Jemison and EJ Liddell – With all the Pelicans’ injuries, these are the backup bigs and forwards on the roster. It’s desperation time right from the start, but they’ll secure time on the floor

6. Joe Ingles – Old. So old. But Orlando need shooting, so he could see the floor. But they have a ton of young guards, too, so he might just be a locker room guy

7. Derrick Rose – In three years with the Knicks he’s played in 88 games total. He’s 34. But, Memphis don’t have Ja for the first 25 games this year, and they traded Tyus Jones. So in theory, D Rose should see the floor

8. Marjon Beauchamp – The young athlete the Bucks need. With how old and hurt their roster has been the last few years, he should get a chance to show why they drafted him

9. Bol Bol – The hit of last year joins a top-heavy Suns team who need defenders and hustle guys. Bol can do that stuff, right? Just give him a chance!

10. Troy Brown Jr – Wolves will need somebody to step in for those Taurean Prince minutes. I guess that’s this guy

11. Davis Bertans – A bet on OKC’s rehabilitative culture

12. Shake Milton – Gets a fresh start in Minnesota where he’ll be fighting with NAW and McLaughlin for minutes

13. Cedi Osman – Hey, if you wanna ride the rollercoaster, I ain’t gonna stop ya

14. Frank Ntilikina – Frankie Smokes comes to Charlotte hoping to follow the Dennis Smith Jr blueprint. Clifford called him the best defender on the roster. That’s gotta mean at least a few minutes a night

15. Peyton Watson – Remember that double block he had last year? That was the only time I saw him play, but after losing a good chunk of their depth, the Nuggets could turn to their recent draft picks like him or Gillespie

16. Kenny Lofton Jr – He weighed in at 300 lbs for training camp this year, which is so exciting for a 6’8 basketball player. With Memphis’ strange opening 25 games, the G League MVP should see the floor, I just don’t know in what capacity

17. TyTy Washington Jr – It would be asking a lot for TyTy to work into that lineup, but with commonly-injured Cam Payne and rookie Andre Jackson Jr ahead of him, there’s certainly an avenue for his success

18. JT Thor – Cody Martin is back and after 10 games Miles Bridges will be too, so Thor would need to really shine

19. Jordan Hawkins – With all the Pelicans’ injuries, the rookie should get a run in

20. Jalen McDaniels – I love him if Toronto trade OG or Siakim. If they don’t, I worry he’s just another okay wing on the roster

21. Joe Harris – Still an elite shooter and now he’s playing for a Detroit team with pretty much no shooting at all, I just did not like watching him last year

22. Svi Mhykyliuk – Listen, Svi gets minutes wherever he goes. Boston need depth

23. Cam Reddish – It hasn’t worked out in the last two places for Cam, but he’s a shooter, so keep him on the radar

24. Ousmane Dieng – Picking an OKC player is like sticking your hand in the Gom Jabbar, but Dieng is exciting enough to fight his way onto the court

25. Daishen Nix – Nix popped up in Houston last year, but we’ll see if that means anything at all in Minnesota

26. Edmond Sumner – Remember that little stint where it was between him and Cam Thomas to get big numbers without Kyrie and KD and I picked Sumner and if he had just hit a single shot he would’ve been a star? Well now he’s in Charlotte, where there’s no guard depth to speak of 

27. Cam Thomas – Speak of the devil. Dennis Smith Jr (and Ben Simmons) are ahead of him on the Nets #FreeCam

28. Jaden Springer – The hero Philly deserve, but are the desperate enough to turn to him?

29. Wenyen Gabriel – Celtics need depth at the 4 and 5. They’re a KP and Horford injury away from really leaning on Gabriel

Sunday, October 15, 2023

Starting Lineups

 With preseason about halfway over, there is still time for some of these lineups to shift. But this is what I have so far. If a player is on this list by Wednesday when we draft, you cannot draft them. Or, more accurately, you can draft them, you just cannot start them without proof that they will be coming off the bench.

The hard ones: Atlanta, Boston, Detroit, Dallas, Clippers, Memphis, Toronto, and Utah.

Feel free to draft they guys who are fighting for starting spots, just know you're taking a risk.


Atlanta Hawks

PG – Trey Young

SG – Dejounte Murray

SF – Saddiq Bey

PF – DeAndre Hunter/Jalen Johnson

C – Clint Capella


Boston Celtics

PG – Jrue Holiday

SG – Jayson Tatum

SF – Jaylen Brown

PF – Kristaps Porzingis 

C – Al Horford/Derrick White


Brooklyn Nets

PG – Ben Simmons

SG – Spencer Dinwiddie

SF – Mikal Bridges

PF – Cam Johnson

C – Nic Claxton


Charlotte Hornets

PG – LaMelo Ball

SG – Terry Rozier

SF – Gordan Hayward

PF – PJ Washington

C – Mark Williams


Chicago Bulls

PG – Coby White

SG – Zach Lavine

SF – Demar DeRozan

PF – Patrick Williams

C – Nikola Vucevic


Cleveland Cavaliers

PG – Darius Garland

SG – Donovan Mitchell

SF – Max Strus

PF – Evan Mobley

C – Jarret Allen


Denver Nuggets

PG – Jamal Murray

SG – KCP

SF – MPJ

PF – Aaron Gordon

C – Nikola Jokic


Detroit Pistons

PG – Cade Cunningham

SG – Thompson

SF – Bojan Bogdanovic

PF – Jalen Duren

C – Isaiah Stewart


Dallas Mavericks

PG – Kyrie Irving

SG – Luka Doncic

SF – Josh Green*

PF – Grant Williams

C – Isaiah Lively


Golden State Warriors

PG – Steph Curry

SG – Klay Thompson

SF – Andrew Wiggins

PF – Draymond Green

C – Kevon Looney


Houston Rockets

PG – Fred VanVleet

SG – Jalen Green

SF – Dillon Brooks

PF – Jabari Smith Jr

C – Alperen Sengun


Indiana Pacers

PG – Tyrese Haliburton

SG – Bruce Brown

SF – Bennedict Mathurin

PF – Obi Toppin

C – Myles Turner


Los Angeles Clippers

PG – Russell Westbrook

SG – Paul George

SF – Kawhi Leonard

PF – Terence Mann/Nic Batum

C – Ivica Zubac


Los Angeles Lakers

PG – DeAngelo Russell

SG – Austin Reeves

SF – LeBron James

PF – Jarred Vanderbilt/Taurean Prince

C – Anthony Davis


Memphis Grizzlies

PG – Marcus Smart

SG – Desmond Bane

SF – Ziare Williams*

PF – JJJ

C – Steven Adams


Miami Heat

PG – Kyle Lowry

SG – Tyler Herro

SF – Himmy Butler

PF –Kevin Love

C – Bam 


Milwaukee Bucks

PG – Dame Lillard

SG – Malik Beasley

SF – Khris Middleton

PF – Giannis

C – Brook Lopez


Minnesota Timberwolves

PG – Mike Conley

SG – Anthony Edwards

SF – Jaden McDaniels/NAW

PF – KAT

C – Rudy Gobert


New Orleans Pelicans

PG – CJ McCollum

SG –Herb Jones

SF – Brandon Ingram

PF – Zion Williamson

C – Jonas Valanciunas


New York Knicks

PG – Jalen Brunsen

SG – Quintin Grimes

SF – RJ Barrett

PF – Julius Randle

C – Mitchell Robinson


OKC Thunder

PG – SGA

SG – Josh Giddey

SF – Jaylen Williams

PF – Lu Dort

C – Chet Holmgren


Orlando Magic

PG – Markelle Fultz

SG – Gary Harris/Jalen Suggs

SF – Franz Wagner

PF – Paolo Banchero

C – Wendell Carter Jr


Philadelphia 76ers

PG – Tyrese Maxey

SG – James Harden*

SF – Tobias Harris

PF – PJ Tucker

C – Joel Embiid


Phoenix Suns

PG – Devin Booker

SG – Bradley Beal

SF – Josh Okogie

PF – Kevin Durant

C – DeAndre Ayton


Portland Trail Blazers

PG – Scoot Henderson

SG – Anfernee Simons

SF – Shaedon Sharpe

PF – Jerami Grant

C – Deandre Ayton


Sacramento Kings

PG – D’Aaron Fox

SG – Kevin Heurter

SF – Keegan Murray

PF – Harrison Barnes

C – Domontas Sabonis


San Antonio Spurs

PG – Tre Jones

SG – Keldon Johnson

SF – Devin Vassell

PF – Victor Wembanyama

C – Zach Collins


Toronto Raptors

PG – Scottie Barnes

SG – Gary Trent Jr/Dennis Schroder

SF – OG Anonoby

PF – Pascal Siakam

C – Jakob Poeltl


Utah Jazz

PG – Collin Sexton/Jeremy Clarkson

SG – THT

SF – Lauri Markkanen

PF – John Collins

C – Walker Kessler


Washington Wizards

PG – Tyus Jones

SG – Jordan Poole

SF – Kyle Kuzma

PF – Deni Avdija/Bilal Coulibaly

C – Daniel Gafford

Injuries/Suspensions

Atlanta Hawks

De’Andre Hunter – Missed preseason with a knee injury. No reporting before or during preseason. Not expected to affect anything. But is Hunter solid enough to just hop into the starting lineup cold?

Charlotte Hornets

Miles Bridges – Will miss the first 10 days of the season for beating the shit out of his girlfriend in front of their children. Recently threw billiard balls at her car while their kids were inside, turned himself in to police custody, and then appeared at Hornets’ practice. At minimum, he won’t play the first 10 games

Chicago

Lonzo Ball – Gonna miss another year

Cleveland

Jarrett Allen – As of October 7th he’ll be sidelined at least two weeks with a bone bruise in his ankle. So he could be back by the start of the regular season. But with how important he is and with how many wings they have, they could easily push Mobley to the 5 and bring Allen back slowly

Ricky Rubio – No one’s sure what Rubio’s timeline is. He’s away from the team to focus on his mental health, and so far as I can find, the Cavs haven’t been in contact with him. Don’t draft this man

Denver

Vlatko Cancar – Tore his ACL in the offseason and is out for the year

Michael Porter Jr – General consensus is they’re just resting him because he gets hurt so much and they need him. But simply because he gets hurt so much, they might keep resting him

Detroit

Isaiah Livers – As of October 2nd, Grade 3 ankle sprain, expected to miss 6-8 weeks

Golden State

Draymond Green – Expected to be back by the regular season

Houston

Kevin Porter Jr – Strangled his girlfriend until he broke a vertebra. Rockets told him he would never play for them again. Based on the Miles Bridges precedent from last year, he won’t play for anyone this year

Clippers

Brandon Boston Jr – Still rehabbing a knee injury, but he’s practicing again

Lakers

Jarred Vanderbilt – Missing preseason but expected to be good to go for the opener

Memphis

Brandon Clarke – Tore his ACL at the end of last season. No timetable for return

Ja Morant – Suspended the first 25 games for being stupid

Minnesota

Jaden McDaniels – As of October 13th, sidelined with a calf injury. Re-evalutated in 7-10 days. That puts him right at the start of the season, so we’ll be keeping an eye on him

New Orleans

Trey Murphy III – Had surgery on his knee on September 7th. Expected to miss 10-12 weeks

Larry Nance Jr – Missing preseason. Optimistic he’ll be ready for opening night

Jose Alvarado – Missing preseason. Aiming for opening night

Naji Marshall – As of October 15th, will be re-evaluated in two weeks for a bone bruise in his knee. Will miss the start of the season

OKC

Poku – As of October 4th, sprained his right ankle and will be re-evaluated in six weeks. Will miss the start of the season

Victor Oladipo – Missed training camp with the injury he sustained late last year. No timetable

Philly

Montrezl Harrell – Tore his ACL in August

James Harden – Says he’s gonna play

Phoenix

Damion Lee – Tore his meniscus October 11th. Out indefinitely

Toronto

Otto Porter Jr – Returning to practice and is on schedule to play for the regular season

Washington

Anthony Gil – As of October 14th, strained his left hamstring and will be out 2-3 weeks

Landry Shamet – Broke his big toe October 10th and is expected to miss 2-4 weeks. Making him iffy for the start of the season


Wednesday, October 11, 2023

Draft Board 3.0

 Draft Board 2.0

In Tiers


Tier 1: 6MOY Contenders

1. CP3 – Assuming he comes off the bench, which makes the most sense, he brings a sense of purpose to an exciting but directionless group of Golden State backups

2. Immanuel Quickley – He nearly won it last year, I see no reason he shouldn’t contend for it again. 15ppg with three assists, four rebounds, and a steal to boot

3. Malcolm Brogdan – The reigning sixth man certainly deserves a shout, it just depends on how Portland want to use him

4. Bobby Portis – A double double machine who plays for an old team and gets spot starts. Rock solid pick

5. Christian Wood – The highest upside of anyone in our league. Only thing holding him back is himself, which has consistently turned out to be quite the obstacle. With plenty of power forwards to go around in LA, I don’t expect him to haul in the 26 mpg he got last year, but his talent is too great to ignore

6. Norman Powell – Easy buckets off the bench for the most game-managed team to ever exist. We’ll see how the new rules go, but regardless, Powell’s a star. 26 mpg and 17 ppg last year in 60 games

7. Bogdan Bogdanovic – Bogey’s coming off a killer World Cup and gearing up for a serious run at sixth man. Played 28 mpg last year, shooting 45/40/83

8. Malik Monk – Microwave scorer who’s as likely to have 40 as he is 12. Threw in 4 apg, too

9. Eric Gordon – He’s old but he’s won it before and he’ll play huge minutes for a very high-profile team


Tier 2: Elite Producers

1. Onyeka Okongwu – Only in the second tier because there’s no way he wins 6MOY. 10 pts, 7 boards, 1 block per game last year

2. Collin Sexton – In 48 games last year he shot 50/39/81 for 14 points and 3 assists. Started both preseason games so far, but if we end up with Jordan Clarkson, take him in pretty much the same spot

4. John Konchar – Looking at Memphis’ roster without Ja, Konchar’s gonna eat for the first 25 games of the year. 20 mpg in 72 games last year, those numbers are going to spike

5. Cole Anthony – Consistent double-digit scorer with a well-defined role on a talented young team. Looking to play more than 65 games in a season for the first time in his NBA career

6. Kelly Oubre Jr – 20 ppg last year as a starter. Hasn’t put up fewer than 10.5 FGA in a season for six years. He’s gonna get some shots up in Philly

7. Buddy Hield – Was going to end up on the bench for the Pacers but now they’re looking to trade him. Not sure where he’s gonna play this year, but he’s a tippy top elite three-point shooter even if he stays in Indiana

8. Amen Thompson – With KPJ bowing out, the rookie Thompson is gonna make people question Jaylen Green’s starting status by December

9. Robert Williams III – He might start in Portland, but if he doesn’t, he’s a pogo stick around the rim who finishes everything and is an absolute lock for a block per game

10. Kyle Anderson – Slo-Mo is the hand that steadies the drink when it’s about to overflow and spill everywhere in Minnesota. Because of KAT’s injury, he ended up starting half the games last year, which only cements his importance to this team. Shot 50/40 last year

12. Tari Eason – This is Udoka’s kind of player. Eason’s gonna play dogged defense and light up second units just like last year when he averaged 9 and 6, got a steal and half a block, played 22 minutes, and played every single game as a rookie

13. Mason Plumlee – Dude’s like if the Terminator wasn’t hot. Pure stats, no sex appeal. In 23 games with the Clippers after the deadline he averaged 7 and 7 in 20 minutes

14. Christian Braun – Denver need him to play like he did in the playoffs. With no one else to turn to, I think he will, but it’s a major bet on a guy who wasn’t on any of our teams last year

15. Donte DiVincenzo – The Big Ragu was a perfect fit in Golden State last year, racking up 9, 4, 3, and 1 in 26 mpg. Thibs is gonna love him in New York

16. Jalen Duren – I think Detroit will start Isaiah Stewart, but honestly take whichever of them doesn’t start because they bring similar unstoppable energy

17. Andrew Nembhard – Nembhard started 63 games and averaged 9.5 pts and 4.5 asts. I don’t see a world in which he starts over Bruce Brown with what they’re paying him. Carlisle loves him

18. Caris LeVert – I think Strus will lock up the starting spot, leaving LeVert for us. I’ve tampered expectations from last season, but he’s still a heater. 12 points and 4 assists will do just fine for us. With Jarrett Allen’s injury, he might start the season, so be careful drafting him

19. Bones Hyland – Kawhi called him their backup PG on media day, and if Terance Mann is going to start (which is certainly the buzz) the runway just freed up for Bones. He will certainly shoot you out of some matchups, but he was just as certainly shoot you into others. High volume, high reward


Tier 3: Quality Rotation

1. Shaedon Sharpe – We’ll see if he starts, but the one thing we know is he’s going to play a ton as the Blazers figure out exactly what it is they have here. If he comes off the bench they’re going to give him the floor. 8 shots per game last season will have nothing on this year

2. Santi Aldama – Bold prediction: Aldama will play more minutes than JJJ. Aldama had 21 mpg last year, JJJ had 28. Foul trouble and not having Ja around to ease the load on offense could weigh heavily on JJJ, which lights the runway for his backup to have an even bigger year than he had last season

3. Naz Reid – Even with only 18 mpg finding time between Rudy and Kat, Reid averaged 11.5 pts, 5 rbs, and 1 ast. As one of the few fan favorites on the team, they have to keep playing him

4. Josh Hart – Assuming Quintin Grimes retains his starting role, Hart is a Thibs guy through and through who will play a ton of minutes and might end up closing games

5. Kelly Olynyk – Collins pushes him firmly to the bench and now he gets to operate with the Jazz’ really fun backups like Agbaji and George. I think he’s gonna eat

6. Dario Saric – Small ball 5 playing big minutes with CP3? Yeah, sign me up

7. Nick Richards – He had 14 double doubles last year

8. Naji Marshall – Fills in gaps left by New Orleans’ incessantly injured forwards. His coach calls him “The Knife” because you know exactly what you’re getting out of him every night. Had 22 mpg last year

9. Ochai Agbaji – I think he’s coming for the starting spot in Utah. Not a lights out shooter, but a winning plays guy. Definitely a swing but he played 20 mpg last year and he’s getting better

10. Malik Beasley – The preseason will tell if he or Pat start after the Bucks traded Allen. The Lakers benched Beasley because he couldn’t keep up defensively in the playoffs. But that doesn’t matter to us. In the regular season he shot 36% from three on 8.6 attempts. The Bucks need shooting, they can cover his defense

11. Pat Connaughton – The preseason will tell if he or Beasley step into the starting lineup in the absence of Allen. Even though he’s a streaky shooter who had an injured and not that great year last season, he’s a hustle guy, great rebounder, and he’ll get plenty of minutes if he doesn’t start

12. Larry Nance Jr – Another bet on New Orleans’ terrible health record. Do you really think we get more than 50 games out of Zion this year? Speaking of, Nance himself is hurt. Looks like he should be good to start the season, but he’s going to miss camp

13. Paul Reed – He only got 10 mpg last year, but the fans love him and they need to manage Embiid better now that he’s won his MVP. Breakout year for BBall Paul

14. Caleb Martin – Who knows if Martin will be startin’, but we all saw him go nuclear in the playoffs, and last year he played almost 30 mpg

15. Kenyon Martin Jr – A bet on youth, athleticism, availability, and fit. Kmart Jr checks all of those boxes. Plus, backups for the Clippers get all sorts of playing time

16. Dennis Schroder – As with every year, I’m wary of what Dennis we’re gonna get. He was an issue in Boston where he was chucking over 12 shots a game, but last year in LA he brought that number under 10, and worked his turnovers down to less than 2 a game for the first time in a decade. I’m assuming he comes off the bench and Toronto play Scottie at PG

17. Drew Eubanks – The Shaq of Troutdale will be backing up an extremely disgruntled DeAndre Ayton. Last year for a floundering Blazers team he averaged 6 pts, 5 rbs, and 1 blk in 78 games. When the Ayton situation blows up, Drewbanks will be ready

18. Georges Niang – Don’t know if I’ve ever seen him miss a corner three. Pretty much gonna have the same role in Cleveland as he did in Philly

19. Malaki Branham – Devonte’ Graham’s suspended the first two games of the season with a DUI, so Branham will have the red carpet rolled out for him. 10 points, 2 assists, and only 1 turnover in his regular season, he’s set to get buckets for this likely bad Spurs team

20. Jock Landale – While I’m a Sengun fan, I just have a feeling Udoka isn’t. Landale brings a bit of that bastard to his game. He’s a great energy sub

21. Grayson Allen – He’s been a starter for the Bucks these last two years, getting 10 ppg and shooting 40% from three. I’d rather have that shooting off the bench for the Suns, but I can definitely see him taking that assumed starter role from Okogie. If he falls to us, he’s a lock to play good minutes and shoot the lights out

22. Trey Lyles – He played 74 games for the Kings last year and didn’t start one. 17 mpg, he shot 46/36/81 while grabbing 4 boards. He’s the definition of a solid rotation big

23. Chris Boucher – Boucher played in 76 games for the Raptors last year, averaging 9 points and 5.5 rebounds in 20 minutes. Regardless of how the Raptors arrange their starters, Boucher is set up to keep producing consistently

24. Royce O’Neale – Assuming they start Dorian Finney-Smith over him, O’Neale is savvy. If DFS is eligible, go get him around here, too

25. Jose Alvarado – Looks like this injury should be healed up by the start of the regular season, but Alvarado’s gonna miss camp and likely preseason. A good player on a constantly hurt team, don’t expect him to come out of the gate firing

26. Taurean Prince – LeBron loves a vet wing who knows how to cut and can shoot. I think Prince is gonna play big minutes, despite Rui, Vando, and Wood playing his position. At risk of starting

27. Torrey Craig – Might start over Patrick Williams, but if he’s available he’s coming off a solid season with Phoenix, shooting 39% from three

28. Isaiah Hartenstein – He wasn’t what I’d hoped he’d be last year, but the Knicks’ bench got even more talented around him with DiVincenzo, and one more year under Thibs will have gained him favor

29. Maxi Kleber – A healthy Kleber will play a huge role for this shallow Mavs team

30. Alec Burks – Burks carried Old Man Team when he played last year. This Pistons team needs shooting maybe more than any other team in the league

31. Josh Richardson – A Heat guy through and through. Looking like Spoelstra will start Lowry, which gives Richardson plenty of bench minutes. Prime candidate for a big year. Did ya’ll know he’s 30?

32. Reggie Bullock – Started 55 games for the Mavs last year. Not really by fault of his own, they looked abysmal. Applying real pressure to the Rockets starters, looks to play big minutes

33. Josh Green – Played 25 mpg last year for that sad Mavs team, and I really don’t see many reasons he won’t do that again

34. Zeke Nnaji – I know I said last year was the year, but this is the year. Uncle Jeff is gone, Cancar tore his ACL, it’s Zeke Nnaji time

35. Coby White – The Bulls just gave him a new contract, and the money says he’s gonna play. He shot 37% from three last year and he’ll likely get plenty of shots and fewer tough defensive matchups playing next to Jevon Carter. Looks like he could start, so be wary

36. Ricky Rubio – Cavs guard depth isn’t stellar. I expect the steady hand of Rubio will play plenty

37. Isaiah Joe – Will he shoot 41% from three like he did last year or will he fade into obscurity under the 30 talented teenagers OKC keeps drafting?

38. Deni Avdija – After being one of my absolute locks at this time last year, Avdija went out and started 40 games. Which is five fewer games than his competitor Corey Kispert started. It’s a true toss-up who will secure that starting spot. Kispert shot 42% from three, Avdija averaged 9, 6.5, and 3. Whoever falls to us should get plenty of time in a wonky Wizards season

39. Sam Hauser – Boston went out and got a lot of wing depth this summer (Brissett, Svi, Stevens) but Hauser played in 80 games last year. He’s the incumbent, he just has to stay on his game or he might get buried

40. Nickeil Alexander-Walker – NAW impressed me coming off the bench in the World Cup this summer. He’s filled in for missing stars so far in the preseason and seems set to play really big minutes at multiple positions

41.   Dwight Powell - If Lively starts like he has so far in the preseason, Powell gives us a steady, reasonable, not gonna hurt you, veteran center


Tier 4: Good Minutes

1. Dyson Daniels – The Pelicans are always getting hurt, and with Trey Murphy out until mid-November at least, and Jose Alvarado missing training camp, Daniels should see plenty of the floor early on

2. Payton Pritchard – Necessity. Pritchard is the primary backup guard for Boston unless they choose to bench White. He only played in 48 games last year and only got 13 mpg. Time to see if Bill Simmons is right about him. Scored 26 and 21 in the first two preseason games

3. Xavier Tillman – Steven Adams got hurt in January and never came back. Reports on his health this summer have been tricky to find. Assuming he’s back, Tillman should get plenty of time as they work Adams into shape

4. Thomas Bryant – He started 25 games for a tumultuous Lakers team last year, putting up 12 points and 7 rebounds. Then he got traded to Denver and played 11 mpg. Due simply to the lack of backup bigs on the Heat roster, Bryant should be out there a lot more than 11 minutes. He has big upside, but he simply doesn’t play that many games. In the last five seasons he’s played 46, 10, 27, 59, and 59 games

5. Jevon Carter – My guy played all but one game for the Bucks last season, starting half of them. His production was moderate: 8 points, 2 assists, 2 rebounds, and a steal. What he brings to the Bulls this year is tenacity. With him and Caruso, the other team isn’t gonna get a moment of rest

6. Reggie Jackson – In a pretty small sample size (18 games) for the Nugs last year, Jackson shot pretty badly but managed 8 points and 3 assists. No one is more aware of Jamaal Murray’s impact on this team than Denver, so look for them to keep his minutes and games reasonable. That means minutes for Jackson, who will have settled into the team more with a full offseason

7. Mo Wagner – Not only did he get 10.5 ppg off the bench last year, he’s also the brother of one of the Magic’s franchise cornerstones. He’s gonna play

8. Kris Murray – Rookies are a crapshoot, but 23-year-old, 6’8 rookies who can shoot the piss out of the ball tend to see the floor

9. Yuta Watanabe – I harped on it all last year, superstar teams need guys like Yuta. He’s big, he hustles, fans love him, and he hits corner threes. The ceiling isn’t that sexy but the floor is nice and high

10. Gary Payton II – He’s 30, he’s had some bad injuries lately, and he doesn’t shoot. But he has Steve Kerr’s trust, and that’s all he needs

11. David Roddy – Tough to tell what Memphis is gonna do with their roster for the first 25 games, but Roddy played 70 games last year at 18 mpg, so he’ll factor in

12. Jeff Green – Uncle Jeff is 37 years old but played 20 mpg last year for the Nuggets. Udoka isn’t going to like the youth of Houston

13. Jonathan Isaac – He only played 11 games last year, but in that time he got multiple steals in 4 of them, more than 4 rebounds in 6 of them, and more than 9 points in 3 of them. He was as advertised on defense, and he had some moments on the other end. He simply will not stay healthy. But the beginning of the year is a great time for health

14. Nassir Little – Joins a crowded backup wing rotation in Phoenix. Won over Chauncey Billups and earned 26 mpg two years ago and 18 last year. Little’s issue has been staying on the court. Last season he played a four-year career high 54 games

15. Oshae Brissett – The Celtics have added lots of wing depth to their bench with Brissett, Svi, and Lamar Stevens. Of the three, I like Brissett to play the most on account of his scrapping for 16 mpg last year on a wing-heavy Pacers team

16. Cody Martin – Was hurt all last year and played only seven games. The Bridges situation muddies it up a bit, but Martin should play plenty of minutes behind the always-injured Gordon Hayward

17. Jonathon Kuminga – Last year he played 20 mpg, this year he should do the same

18. Dennis Smith Jr – Revived his career last year in Charlotte. Now, in Brooklyn, will be looking to bring defense and stability behind Spencer Dinwiddie

19. Keyontae George – Did you see him in Summer League? The Jazz have plenty of undersized scoring guard depth, but George might just be too good to bury on the bench

20. Delon Wright – Wright played 24 mpg for Washington last year and was shockingly consistent. Regardless of where the Wizards want to go, he’ll get in

21. AJ Griffin – Looking to avoid the sophomore slump and capitalize on the departure of John Collins. He played 19 mpg and shot 39% from three. His only downside is Jalen Johnson plays his exact position, so he’s going to have to earn those minutes

22. Talen Horton-Tucker – With the drafting of Keyontae George, THT’s minutes might take a hit. He averaged 10 points, 4 assists, and 3 rebounds last year, though, and drafting him is a bet on experience over a shiny rookie

23. Landry Shamet – He only played 40 games last year, and he’s on a team who’s looking toward the future. He’s only 26, so if he stays healthy he could put up real minutes. But he’s at risk of being traded or falling down the pecking order. Tough to tell

24. Cason Wallace – Picking an OKC player is committing yourself to a season of peril and limitless G League roster updates. But Wallace has the size and upside to be a great long-term piece behind Shai and Giddey. Just keep your eye out

25. Precious Achiuwa – Really thought he was going to thrive in Toronto, and maybe under new coaching he will. Regardless, he’s their backup big, and he averaged 9 and 6 last year

26. Jae Crowder – The Bucks lost even more depth, which leaves more room for Crowder. He’s 33, he barely played last year, but if he can get it together he’s gonna be a great pickup

27. Jeremy Sochan – Reporting so far is the Spurs will start Collins, leaving Sochan to us. The good news is they love him there and he stands to play plenty of minutes. The bad news is he’s probably the best example of the kind of player who makes winning plays that do not translate into fantasy success

28. Seth Curry – While he still shot 40% from three last year, he took his fewest threes per game since 2018. Dallas need him, so he’s gonna play, but he’s a bit of a risk

29. Jalen Johnson – I like AJ Griffin more, but does Quin Snyder?

30. Doug McDermott – Played 20 mpg last year, looking to bring veteran shooting to this young team. People will be worried about the flashier guys, I think Dougie Buckets puts in a solid shift

31. Jarace Walker – Was looking at great playing time until the Pacers got Obi Toppin. Even so, the roster is so light on PFs that they started Aaron Nesmith at the four last year. Had 19 and 9 in the opener

32. AJ Green – Bucks need shooting and they have very little depth

33. Jaylin Williams – Started 36 games for the Thunder last year. With the arrival of Chet, he looks to slot solidly to the bench. The coaches love him, but it’s always tricky taking an OKC player

34. Brandon Miller – I don’t know. He could start, hell he’s the number two overall pick. One way or another he should be on the court a ton

35. Gabe Vincent – Last year he started for a month and no one in our league even noticed. He’ll play a ton behind DLo, but he was the best available free agent in our league for half the year

36. Jordan Goodwin – Worried about his non-guaranteed contract. He’s the Suns’ backup PG, but they’ve got so many wings that they might just rotate their stars and never use him. 

37. Patty Mills – Somebody’s gotta pick up Holiday’s bench minutes in Atlanta, and Patty seems fit for the job

38. Richaun Holmes – No clue. He fills a need on the Mavs, but they need everything so that’s not really saying much

39. Jordan Walsh – Scrappy rookie who should fit perfectly into a star-heavy team with minimal depth at his position. Already a fan-favorite

40. Keita Bates-Diop – The hipster pick for “guy who’s gonna shock everyone and get some spot starts for the Suns”. Played 67 games for the Spurs last year, shooting 50/39/79 splits on 21 mpg

41. Justin Holiday – The veteran replacement for Jeff Green. He’s functional. He’ll play so Denver don’t have to rely on so many of their younglings

42. Robin Lopez – 8 mpg for Cleveland last year. Don’t get your hopes up, but the last time he was in Milwaukee (4 years ago) he got 14 mpg, and they are a thin, old team with title aspirations. This is a heart over head pick, but I think he’ll see the floor

43. Luke Kornet – Boston’s bigs are KP and Horford. Injury-prone doesn’t do it justice. Kornet’s gonna see plenty of the floor

44. Rudy Gay – He’s 37 and fresh off of not working for Utah. But, if there’s an organization that can revamp an old small ball five’s career, it’s the Warriors. Especially with Draymond starting the year hurt

45. Bryce McGowans – A lot went wrong for the Hornets last year, but McGowans played 17 mpg in 46 games. Name a backup guard the Hornets have any faith in. Bryce has a shot

46. Lonnie Walker IV – Started 32 games for the weird Lakers last year. The Nets have entirely too many wings, but logically they’ll trade some of them and either Walker will be one of them or the roster will open up for him

47. Derrick Jones Jr – He doesn’t score, playmake, or rebound. But Dallas need wing defenders so he should see the floor

48. Aaron Holiday – A vet for Udoka to trust when he gets mad at all the kids in Houston

49. Mike Muscala – I just can’t let go

51. Andre Jackson Jr. – The Bucks rookie point guard. Cam Payne cuts into his potential to take off, but he’ll battle with TyTy Washington Jr for that 10-15 minute spot

52. Damian Jones – The Cavs are going to give having an actual backup 5 a go. Jones has a low ceiling, but should get minutes. Not the best sell, I know

53. Davion Mitchell – Off Night played 18 mpg last year, but with the influx of shooting guards he only took 5 shots per game. His defense is valuable and the Kings don’t have any of that, so he’ll still play, but don’t expect him to blow the doors off

54. Jordan McLaughlin – Did you know he’s 5’11? He got 16 mpg last year, but Milton’s played more minutes in both preseason games so far

55. Andre Drummond – He only played 12 mpg last year, but he’s a big enough name to make the list


The Lost Tier: I have no idea what to do with the minutes or production of these guys. Some are possible starters, some might never play at all, it’s tough down here

1. Kevin Love – No clue. Could start, could come off the bench, could hardly play, could end up on another team, could retire. We’ll need preseason to clear things up, and even then I won’t be certain

2. Kris Dunn – Might start for Utah. He’s an elite defender and he was hooping last year. They also might cut him because his contract of 2 million dollars becomes guaranteed on the 23rd and they just spent a high draft pick on Keyonte George. Who knows

3. Patrick Beverly – Depending on entirely too many variables, Pat Bev might start for the Sixers, he might be the first man off the bench, he might make a big fuss about lack of playing time, and he might get in a verbal dispute and be dismissed from the team

4. TJ McConnell – The hero of Old Man Team last season took a blow with the signing of Bruce Brown. Now that Nembhard will be coming off the bench, it’ll be interesting to see how much McConnell plays. When he’s out there, he performs

5. Nic Batum – Might start, might get traded, Clips make no sense

6. Matisse Thybulle – He started all 22 games he played for the Blazers last year, but they were trying to lose. With the Dame situation in flux and the roster being full of shooters who don’t defend, I could see him playing any role

7. Javale McGee – Javale’s 35 and only played 8.5 mpg in 42 games last year. But the Kings lost Richaun Holmes and they dropped Nerlens Noel (who they just signed a month ago) to make room for Javale. So I’d have to think he’ll see the court

8. James Wiseman – Man, this Detroit roster situation is bonkers. All of their bigs were hurt at staggered intervals last season, so we didn’t get a chance to see who was top of the food chain. I suspect they like Wiseman better than Bagley, but I have nothing to base that on

9. Devonte’ Graham – Serving a DUI suspension the first two games of this season and looking at Branham possibly taking his role, we need to see a lot out of Graham this year and I’ve got my doubts. But he is their backup PG

10. Marvin Bagley – Just go re-read the James Wiseman blurb

11. Isaiah Jackson – Carlisle hates this man and I cannot figure out why. Every time he plays he puts up numbers, he gets 1.5 blocks per game, but he only played 63 games. With the drafting of Jarace Walker, I worry Jackson will be even more of a yo-yo than he was last season

12. Ziaire Williams – He started 31 games as a rookie, then he got hurt, the rest of the team leap frogged him, and he only played 37 games total last year. When he’s on, he fits this starting lineup without Ja perfectly. But he might never see the floor. I don’t know

13. Chris Duarte – Made an all-rookie team two years ago then got hurt and hardly played last year. He’s 6’6, and he’s shown he can really let it fly. We’ll see how the Kings use him with Monk already established on the bench


Tier Whatever: Take a Swing

1. Moses Moody – Would like to see him get more than 13 mpg before I have confidence picking him. With GP2 back, he might not reach that. But, the Warriors have a habit of resting every member of the organization about once a month, so keep your ear to the ground

2. Jaden Hardy – The Mavs need someone to take off, and every time Hardy got an opportunity last year he did just that. He took 7 shots in 14 minutes per game. That’s pretty much a shot every other possession

3. Derrick Rose – In three years with the Knicks he’s played in 88 games total. He’s 34. But, Memphis don’t have Ja for the first 25 games this year, and they traded Tyus Jones. So in theory, D Rose should see the floor

4. Marjon Beauchamp – The young athlete the Bucks need. With how old and hurt their roster has been the last few years, he should get a chance to show why they drafted him

5. Cam Whitmore – Looked like a man amongst boys at Summer League. We’ll see if Udoka likes him, and he’s got a ton of talent ahead of him, but I like his chances

6. Bol Bol – The hit of last year joins a top-heavy Suns team who need defenders and hustle guys. Bol can do that stuff, right? Just give him a chance!

7. Troy Brown Jr – Wolves will need somebody to step in for those Taurean Prince minutes. I guess that’s this guy

8. Davis Bertans – A bet on OKC’s rehabilitative culture

9. Shake Milton – Gets a fresh start in Minnesota where he’ll be fighting with NAW for minutes, but so far he’s beat out McLaughlin

10. Peyton Watson – Remember that double block he had last year? That was the only time I saw him play, but after losing a good chunk of their depth, the Nuggets could turn to their recent draft picks like him or Gillespie

11. Jalen Suggs – Health has been an issue, but when he’s available he’s played meaningful minutes. He’s averaging 25 mpg in his first two years, on a total of 101 games. The Magic have drafted more guards, so it’s a make or break season for Suggs

12. TyTy Washington Jr – It would be asking a lot for TyTy to work into that lineup, but with commonly-injured Cam Payne and rookie Andre Jackson Jr ahead of him, there’s certainly an avenue for his success

13. JT Thor – Cody Martin is back and after 10 games Miles Bridges will be too, so Thor would need to really shine

14. Jordan Hawkins – With Trey Murphy out until mid-November and Jose Alvarado missing preseason, Hawkins could get a run in

15. Jalen McDaniels – I love him if Toronto trade OG or Siakim. If they don’t, I worry he’s just another okay wing on the roster

16. Bilal Coulibaly – The swing of the draft fell to the swingiest team. Washington could do anything they want this year, and Coulibaly’s about as rough a prospect as you can get

17. Ty Jerome – A functional backup PG for Cleveland

18. Joe Harris – Still an elite shooter and now he’s playing for a Detroit team with pretty much no shooting at all

19. Svi Mhykyliuk – Listen, Svi gets minutes wherever he goes. Boston need depth

20. Cam Reddish – It hasn’t worked out in the last two places for Cam, but he’s a shooter, so keep him on the radar

21. Daishen Nix – Nix popped up in Houston last year, but we’ll see if that means anything at all in Minnesota

22. Frank Ntilikina – Frankie Smokes comes to Charlotte hoping to follow the Dennis Smith Jr blueprint

23. Jaden Springer – The hero Philly deserve

24.   RJ Hampton - 6'4 22-year-old PG looking to rehabilitate his career in a shallow Heat team

25.   Cole Swider - Undrafted Heat player. Don't be surprised when it happens again

Trade!

 Toronto Receive  -Bruce Brown -Jordan Nwora -Kira Lewis Indiana Receive -Pascal Siakam Christian Koloko and James Johnson were waived. Some...